British financial services giant HSBC said India is likely to overtake Japan and Germany to become the third largest economy in the next 10 years but needs to be consistent in reforms and focus more on the social sector.
Thire brokerage’s estimates show that India will be a $7 trillion economy in 2028, as compared to less than $6 trillion and $5 trillion for Germany and Japan, respectively. Currently, India is at the fifth spot in global rankings with a GDP of about $2.3 trillion (fiscal 17), reports BusinessLine.
Other takeaways from the report:
- Demographics and macro stability were key strengths for the country
- India needs to create an ecosystem of continuous change
- An avenue of job creation can be the social sector
- India will continue to be a services oriented economy but it needs to pay extra attention on manufacturing and farm sectors as well
“Apart from services, other hallmarks of the India story over the next decade will be higher investment and capital goods flows as its focus on manufacturing increases; Indian consumers forcing foreign brands to turn ‘glocal’; and a two-way human capital footprint that will see many skilled people traveling overseas. It (India) needs to broaden its specialization (beyond just IT in business and cricket in sports) if it wants to run harder and fly higher,” the report added.
Last updated: December 26th, 2025
